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Re: Sarah Palin, Oprah Winfrey & Going Rogue in December
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12-02-2009 09:55 AM - edited 12-02-2009 09:58 AM
Peppermill wrote:
I hope that even the Republican right would recognize that Ms. Palin needs a couple of solid terms in the U.S. House and/or the Senate.before she can/should be a viable candidate for President.
I really doubt that, considering that both Ronald Reagan and George W. Bush had a rather similar resume to Palin at the time they first ran for President (except that they actually finished their gubernatorial terms) and it worked out quite well for them.
I don't think she'd be likely to win the Presidency, at least not in 2012, but I think she'd be much more successful in the race than a lot of people expect.
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Re: Sarah Palin, Oprah Winfrey & Going Rogue in December
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12-02-2009 11:09 AM
Unfortunately, I agree with Ryan and Jon on this one - I think that there is a very real chance of Palin running for President in 2012, and I fear that she will have a lot of support. I wonder if she would even have thought of it if she hadn't been picked to run with McCain. She is a very ambitious woman, and now she has the idea in her head. Whether she could win the Republican primary and nomination seems a bit doubtful now, but she and the far right may just drive enough of the more moderate Republicans out of the party by then. Look at what happened recently in New York, when Sarah decided that the Republican candidate was not conservative enough for her taste and backed the Conservative Party candidate, and then enough Republicans fell into lockstep behind her (despite Newt Gingrich's attempts to support the Republican, which could give some idea of how Palin and Gingrich might do if they run against each other) that the Republican was actually driven out of the race. What business was it of an unemployed Alaskan to think she should meddle with an election in New York?
The Republican party is imploding, and when the dust settles, we may end up with the party of Sarah Palin, Rush Limbaugh, and Glenn Beck. Beck has even been suggested as a possible running mate for Palin - which is even scarier.
What I have seen in the news recently about Palin seems to show her as a quitter and a liar. I think that she really let down the Alaskans who voted for her by quitting as governor, for no discernible valid reason (didn't she say that it was too hard? What does she think a Presidency would be like?). At one of her book signings, after a specific number of people had been chosen to be admitted, she left early, leaving people who had been promised a turn angry and frustrated. Many had spent money on multiple copies of her book for her to sign, waited for hours, and instead of a face-to-face meeting and personal signature, they were handed cards with her signature on them. These people were her fans and followers, but they surrounded her bus and yelled at her. The other day she was in some charity run, and quit before she finished, because she thought there would be too many people around at the finish line. I believe she has backed out of some appearances she had committed to. By now, practically everything in her book has been debunked by the people involved. Every day brings new revelations of people denying what she said that they did or said.
And yet there appear to still be so many who worship her. Serving in the House or Senate is frequently not a prerequisite to being elected President; there have been plenty of governors, too.
Grand Dame of the Land of Oz, Duchess of Fantasia, in the Kingdom of Wordsmithonia; also, Poet Laureate of the Kingdom of Wordsmithonia
Re: Sarah Palin, Oprah Winfrey & Going Rogue in December
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12-02-2009 12:29 PM
I think you've hit it Dulcie- if Palin remains popular she will be used by the consevatives to force stronger conservative positions on the viable Republican candidates. She will be a threat in the same way Buchanan was, not a real competitor but someone that can steal votes, similiar to Nadar. Depending on the economy and Obama's popularity, the conservatives may do well. Or they could cost a Republican candidate the race.
Either way, she could really divide the republican party. That is, if her popularity ensues.
"bookmagic418.blogspot.com
Re: Sarah Palin, Oprah Winfrey & Going Rogue in December
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12-02-2009 04:45 PM
"except that they actually finished their gubernatorial terms"
My own humble opinion is that is a crucial difference.
It astounds me that it would not be among the responsible right -- given the hard-working, honest, moral superiority the right so often seems to want to represent itself as having.
"I don't think she'd be likely to win the Presidency, at least not in 2012, but I think she'd be much more successful in the race than a lot of people expect."
If Palin could succeed in getting the nomination, that might well be true. Getting the nomination, I am not so certain, especially if Republicans believe someone else could indeed win and they view Obama as capable of being defeated.
The Economist (Outlook 2010) has an interesting article predicting a tough year ahead for Obama, as he gets "blamed" for an on-going recession, rather than credited with avoiding a depression, and takes on his own shoulders military action decisions, in a period before benefits from health care and other reforms become visible.
Jon_B wrote:
Peppermill wrote:I hope that even the Republican right would recognize that Ms. Palin needs a couple of solid terms in the U.S. House and/or the Senate.before she can/should be a viable candidate for President.
I really doubt that, considering that both Ronald Reagan and George W. Bush had a rather similar resume to Palin at the time they first ran for President (except that they actually finished their gubernatorial terms) and it worked out quite well for them.
I don't think she'd be likely to win the Presidency, at least not in 2012, but I think she'd be much more successful in the race than a lot of people expect.
Re: Sarah Palin, Oprah Winfrey & Going Rogue in December
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12-02-2009 05:21 PM
Peppermill wrote:
"except that they actually finished their gubernatorial terms"
My own humble opinion is that is a crucial difference.
It astounds me that it would not be among the responsible right -- given the hard-working, honest, moral superiority the right so often seems to want to represent itself as having.
I think you underestimate how easily her quitting can be spun into something positive. Finishing out one's term is for politics-as-usual Washington insiders!
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Re: Sarah Palin, Oprah Winfrey & Going Rogue in December
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12-02-2009 06:20 PM
I think you underestimate how easily her quitting can be spun into something positive. Finishing out one's term is for politics-as-usual Washington insiders!
I'm sure I underestimate the power of spin. Still, there are differences between the electorate and the processes for getting on ballots and securing nomination.
Jon_B wrote:I think you underestimate how easily her quitting can be spun into something positive. Finishing out one's term is for politics-as-usual Washington insiders!
Peppermill wrote:"except that they actually finished their gubernatorial terms"
My own humble opinion is that is a crucial difference.
It astounds me that it would not be among the responsible right -- given the hard-working, honest, moral superiority the right so often seems to want to represent itself as having.
Re: Sarah Palin, Oprah Winfrey & Going Rogue in December
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12-02-2009 08:11 PM
I think the GOP nominee is down to Palin, Pawlenty, and Romney. Huckabee is not out, he doesn't have a chance anymore now that the extreme right are blasting him over the clemency issue. With Huckabee done, there is a power vaccum on the right, that needs to be filled JIndal blew up after that response speech he gave at the begining of the year. I think Hayley Barber may get into it and only if he does do I think Palin will step out.
http://wordsmithonia.blogspot.com
Re: Sarah Palin, Oprah Winfrey & Going Rogue in December
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12-03-2009 11:06 AM
Peppermill wrote:
It astounds me that it would not be among the responsible right -- given the hard-working, honest, moral superiority the right so often seems to want to represent itself as having.
Pepper, don't forget that the left has its fair share of "moral superiority" in the tug-of-war of who's right and who's wrong.![]()
Peppermill also wrote:
The Economist (Outlook 2010) has an interesting article predicting a tough year ahead for Obama, as he gets "blamed" for an on-going recession, rather than credited with avoiding a depression, and takes on his own shoulders military action decisions, in a period before benefits from health care and other reforms become visible.
This is a very real phenomenon that has affected both republican and democratic presidents. It makes for more colorful disagreements during the elections, even this past one. Republicans argued that it was the policies of Bill Clinton that led to the economic crisis. Greenspan and others from as far back as the Reagan era have been blamed for the housing meltdown.
The reality is that politicians are judged on short-term results, but the fact remains that we're dealing with issues with roots that can be traced all the way back to the industrial revolution. Likewise, solutions may take DECADES to show a result. Look at the FDIC, as an example. Did the creation of the FDIC immediately renew faith in the banking system and make all things good and simple again? After being a child of the Great Depression, my grandmother still has a stash of cash in a box somewhere for the day the banking system collapses. After the bailouts over this past year, I'm thinkin' she might be on to something. Although, if things went that way, how much would her cash be worth anyhow?
Ruth W.
Grand Rapids, MI
Re: Sarah Palin, Oprah Winfrey & Going Rogue in December
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12-03-2009 11:30 AM
Here's a truism for every era and every President in US history:
If things are going well, it's because of the current President - if you voted for him. If you didn't, it's because of the last President that you voted for, in spite of the current one who is of course doing everything he can to destroy the country.
If things are going poorly, it's obviously the fault of the current President - if you didn't vote for him. If you did, he's obviously still in the middle of trying to rectify all the damage caused by the previous guy!
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Re: Sarah Palin, Oprah Winfrey & Going Rogue in December
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12-03-2009 02:36 PM
Jon_B wrote:Here's a truism for every era and every President in US history:
If things are going well, it's because of the current President - if you voted for him. If you didn't, it's because of the last President that you voted for, in spite of the current one who is of course doing everything he can to destroy the country.
If things are going poorly, it's obviously the fault of the current President - if you didn't vote for him. If you did, he's obviously still in the middle of trying to rectify all the damage caused by the previous guy!
Right! And no one ever blames the Congress because there are so many of them that each one of them can pretend that they had nothing to do with any disasters that befell us - even though a President, no matter what party he is from, can hardly do anything at all without their backing and often act to thwart him from doing anything really good because they are so small-minded.
Re: Sarah Palin, Oprah Winfrey & Going Rogue in December
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12-03-2009 04:15 PM
Psychee wrote:
Jon_B wrote:Here's a truism for every era and every President in US history:
If things are going well, it's because of the current President - if you voted for him. If you didn't, it's because of the last President that you voted for, in spite of the current one who is of course doing everything he can to destroy the country.
If things are going poorly, it's obviously the fault of the current President - if you didn't vote for him. If you did, he's obviously still in the middle of trying to rectify all the damage caused by the previous guy!
Right! And no one ever blames the Congress because there are so many of them that each one of them can pretend that they had nothing to do with any disasters that befell us - even though a President, no matter what party he is from, can hardly do anything at all without their backing and often act to thwart him from doing anything really good because they are so small-minded.
This is something that always disturbs me about campaign promises. The candidate will say, "I will do this and I will do that", but there are very few things that they can do on their own; most things need to get through Congress as well. So then, when Congress obstructs these things, people complain that the President isn't living up to his campaign promises, when it is often through no fault of his own. But I feel that he was wrong to promise these things as a done deal in the first place. If he said things like "I will try to do this or I will work with Congress to hopefully do that", it might not sound as powerful or effective, but it would be much more honest.
Grand Dame of the Land of Oz, Duchess of Fantasia, in the Kingdom of Wordsmithonia; also, Poet Laureate of the Kingdom of Wordsmithonia
Re: Sarah Palin, Oprah Winfrey & Going Rogue in December
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12-03-2009 05:47 PM
Pepper, don't forget that the left has its fair share of "moral superiority" in the tug-of-war of who's right and who's wrong.
Ruth -- I notice you left "hard-working and honest" off your description of the left???
basson_mommy12 wrote:
Peppermill wrote:
It astounds me that it would not be among the responsible right -- given the hard-working, honest, moral superiority the right so often seems to want to represent itself as having.
Pepper, don't forget that the left has its fair share of "moral superiority" in the tug-of-war of who's right and who's wrong.
Peppermill also wrote:
The Economist (Outlook 2010) has an interesting article predicting a tough year ahead for Obama, as he gets "blamed" for an on-going recession, rather than credited with avoiding a depression, and takes on his own shoulders military action decisions, in a period before benefits from health care and other reforms become visible.
This is a very real phenomenon that has affected both republican and democratic presidents. It makes for more colorful disagreements during the elections, even this past one. Republicans argued that it was the policies of Bill Clinton that led to the economic crisis. Greenspan and others from as far back as the Reagan era have been blamed for the housing meltdown.
The reality is that politicians are judged on short-term results, but the fact remains that we're dealing with issues with roots that can be traced all the way back to the industrial revolution. Likewise, solutions may take DECADES to show a result. Look at the FDIC, as an example. Did the creation of the FDIC immediately renew faith in the banking system and make all things good and simple again? After being a child of the Great Depression, my grandmother still has a stash of cash in a box somewhere for the day the banking system collapses. After the bailouts over this past year, I'm thinkin' she might be on to something. Although, if things went that way, how much would her cash be worth anyhow?
Re: Sarah Palin, Oprah Winfrey & Going Rogue in December
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12-04-2009 12:18 AM
Pepper: Ah, but see all AMERICANS by definition are hard-working and honest, right? Moral superiority is certainly not a trait that either side would claim, even if they believe it to be true. ![]()
Ruth W.
Grand Rapids, MI
Re: Sarah Palin, Oprah Winfrey & Going Rogue in December
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12-04-2009 10:25 AM - edited 12-04-2009 10:42 AM
basson_mommy12 wrote:Pepper: Ah, but see all AMERICANS by definition are hard-working and honest, right? Moral superiority is certainly not a trait that either side would claim, even if they believe it to be true.
Oh, your right leaning friends are definitely different than mine then! Mine don't hesitate to claim moral superiority. ![]()
(Nor do all of them seem to believe all Americans are hard working and honest.
)
I do think that those differences in values or views about morality are part of what makes it difficult at times for different parts of the political spectrum to speak respectfully to each other. I have been struggling with Reinhold Niebuhr this morning. One of his lines that may apply here is: "Their {people's} difficulty is usually that they cannot imagine any but a social norm to which the self {they themselves} pretends to conform."
Re: Sarah Palin, Oprah Winfrey & Going Rogue in December
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12-04-2009 10:30 AM - edited 12-04-2009 10:30 AM
I'd find it a bit silly to believe all (insert any nationality here) are hardworking and honest! A great many are of course, but there are plenty of lazy and dishonest people among every population, America is no exception.
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Re: Sarah Palin, Oprah Winfrey & Going Rogue in December
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12-04-2009 10:52 AM
Jon_B wrote:I'd find it a bit silly to believe all (insert any nationality here) are hardworking and honest! A great many are of course, but there are plenty of lazy and dishonest people among every population, America is no exception.
Of course!
Ruth and I are jostling each other on how the right and the left view themselves. I was audacious (or foolish) enough to describe the right as viewing themselves as "hardworking, honest and morally superior." I didn't intend to get into a discussion of how the left view themselves!
But, Ruth, I believe, has questioned whether either the right or the left would self describe as "morally superior." At the same time, she has suggested that "hardworking and honest" are much more palatable self descriptions.
Re: Sarah Palin, Oprah Winfrey & Going Rogue in December
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12-04-2009 11:14 AM
I would say both the right and left openly consider themselves "morally superior" to an extent, it's just a somewhat (but not entirely) different set of morals on either side.
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Re: Sarah Palin, Oprah Winfrey & Going Rogue in December
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12-04-2009 12:00 PM
Hi Jessica, It looks to me as though there's not going to be a book discussion. I had asked sometime back for the schedule--quite politely, I thought, and none was ever posted...and there hasn't been much discussion of her book here.
I will say that after I got past the first chapter and a half or so, the writing style evolved into a voice that seemed to me more like Sarah Palin's, and I've found it to be much more interesting writing. That beginning chapter just disappointed me.
I was impressed that Palin refused to take the increased salary when she became mayor as she felt it wouldn't be right of her to do that---since when she was on the council she had voted against a pay increase for the mayor.
I have to say that I was also impressed with the story of her pregnancy. It's easier to espouse values than to live them. She and her husband chose to welcome their 5th child even with the initial sadness in their hearts that he would have difficulties that parents would prefer their children not to have to face.
I've the flu and think I'll spend the rest of the day drinking hot tea and finishing the book.
You take care, and thank you for jumping in on the book so quickly.
Adelle
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12-04-2009 12:21 PM
Adelle, get well soon! I've appreciated all of your thoughts.
Kathy
http://kathys-aliceinwonderland.blogspot.com/
Re: Sarah Palin, Oprah Winfrey & Going Rogue in December
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12-04-2009 01:39 PM
Adelle wrote:
Hi Jessica, It looks to me as though there's not going to be a book discussion. I had asked sometime back for the schedule--quite politely, I thought, and none was ever posted...and there hasn't been much discussion of her book here.
Hi Adelle, it will be posted soon.
Jon
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