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The Shape of Things to Come (Or, Will Our Future Be One Without Books?)
The recent release of Barnes & Noble’s nook – a revolutionary advancement in eBook readers – has got me thinking once again about the future of publishing. Dylan said it best: “the times they are a-changin'.”

Just go back a few decades to the Dark Ages... In the 1980’s, before most people had access to cable television and/or the Internet, the populace received a substantial amount of their information (and entertainment) via newspapers and magazines. Trouble was, by the time a newspaper hit your doorstep or a magazine arrived in the mail, much of the content was already old. And the cost of it all! Employing all of those writers, editors, production people, printers, etc. let alone the shipping or delivery fees! And as a bookstore manager for eight years back during those Dark Days, it always amazed me the unbelievable wastefulness in the way brick-and-mortar bookstores operated – new books get shipped in by the truckload, books that don’t sell get shipped back out by the truckload. Virtual mountains of paperbacks and magazines that don’t sell get stripped and thrown into the dumpster. (Somewhere the Lorax is going postal.) There had to be a more economical way….
The Internet changed all of that though – now we can literally watch news as it unfolds, be it war footage in Iraq or a video of Britney Spears getting out of a limo sans panties. It’s more time efficient and more cost efficient. There’s really no excuse to wait for anything now – we can access tens of thousands of book titles in just seconds with the nook! – and that’s just the beginning of this unfolding technological revolution.
A perfect example of this is the increasing amount of online publishing sites that are featuring original works of speculative fiction. Some are free (powered by advertising) while others are subscription based. And more and more of these sites are churning out truly exceptional work. Many science fiction fans remember Sci Fiction – which ran from 2000 to 2005 – an online magazine that published an impressive amount of critically acclaimed stories (Linda Nagata’s novella Goddesses won the Nebula Award in 2000, Jeffrey Ford’s novelette “The Empire of Ice Cream” won the Nebula Award in 2003, etc.). But the site, which was owned by the Sci Fi Channel, sadly shut down in 2005 because it wasn’t generating enough revenue. The business model for a viable online publishing site, however, has been slowly evolving and today there are dozens of sites publishing original and high quality work – Clarkesworld Magazine (www.clarkesworldmagazine.com), Baen’s Universe (www.baen’s-universe.com), and Orson Scott Card’s Intergalactic Medicine Show (www.intergalacticmedicineshow.com), to name just a few. Why wait months or years for a print anthology to be published when you can access hundreds of short stories online?
This truly is an exciting time to be alive, especially if you’re a hardcore genre fiction reader like me. Technology is changing the way we live – and read – so quickly that I can barely keep up with it all. Just imagine the world a few decades from now: will there be dramatically fewer brick-and-mortar bookstores? Will Barnes & Noble’s nook be as commonplace as iPods? Will our future be one largely without books? Will online publishing eventually replace print publishing? Will eBook readers and the Internet be all we need for our news and entertainment?
Just ask the Lorax – I’ll bet you he has already has a nook. You can text him on his iPhone3GS if you don’t believe me…
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